Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.091124 0.101245 0.111619 0.123018 0.135167 0.147701 0.161584
2025-02-09 0.074138 0.089206 0.105431 0.124080 0.144803 0.167008 0.192487
2025-02-16 0.060669 0.078598 0.098788 0.122912 0.150666 0.181322 0.217473
2025-02-23 0.054595 0.075206 0.099274 0.128919 0.163933 0.203482 0.251043
2025-03-02 0.049411 0.072018 0.099297 0.133802 0.175476 0.223433 0.282037
2025-03-09 0.041762 0.064814 0.093641 0.131143 0.177496 0.231846 0.299328
2025-03-16 0.034968 0.057908 0.087650 0.127423 0.177678 0.237649 0.313210
2025-03-23 0.032385 0.056335 0.088233 0.131749 0.187598 0.255068 0.340936
2025-03-30 0.029553 0.054086 0.087665 0.134389 0.195275 0.269701 0.365333
2025-04-06 0.027611 0.052899 0.088361 0.138559 0.204829 0.286645 0.392617
2025-04-13 0.024527 0.049680 0.085988 0.138425 0.208696 0.296434 0.411106
2025-04-20 0.024262 0.050772 0.089684 0.146525 0.223336 0.319841 0.446596
2025-04-27 0.021817 0.048321 0.088356 0.147968 0.229649 0.333333 0.470620
2025-05-04 0.019932 0.046624 0.088050 0.150833 0.237953 0.349566 0.498418
2025-05-11 0.017360 0.043457 0.085316 0.150102 0.241336 0.359474 0.518329
2025-05-18 0.016827 0.043840 0.088005 0.157178 0.255398 0.383334 0.556146
2025-05-25 0.016031 0.043642 0.089725 0.162826 0.267530 0.404759 0.590999
2025-06-01 0.013602 0.040025 0.085736 0.159824 0.267503 0.410085 0.605097
2025-06-08 0.011258 0.036200 0.081101 0.155588 0.265529 0.412676 0.615554
2025-06-15 0.010697 0.036011 0.082506 0.160529 0.276556 0.432652 0.648701
2025-06-22 0.009877 0.035147 0.082686 0.163540 0.284829 0.448978 0.677176
2025-06-29 0.009380 0.034945 0.083983 0.168289 0.295631 0.468781 0.710325
2025-07-06 0.008245 0.033086 0.082228 0.168137 0.299287 0.478895 0.730768